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Vendor incident response · Concentration · AI dependency

The exposure question

Every vendor incident asks a customer the same thing on day one: are we in scope, and what is it worth? Almost no program is built to answer it.

Get it at release What it covers
A full calendar year of vendor incidents · Jan 2026 – Jan 2027
Publishing April 2027

A full year of vendor incidents — what they cost, who they reached, and how to price your own exposure the next time one lands.

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Why we are writing it

Your program is built for every moment except the one that costs you money

Registers get filed. Ratings get bought. Questionnaires get answered. None of that is an awareness problem — it is a timing problem. Almost every control in a standard program operates before the incident or after the dust settles.

The decision that determines the cost happens in between, on the morning a vendor discloses and nobody can yet say whether you are in scope. That window is what this report is about.

Nearly half of breaches now involve a third party — a share that has tripled in three years.

Verizon DBIR, 2026
What it covers

The silent window

How long vendors take to find a compromise, how much longer they take to say so, and what runs in the gap. Contractual notification turns out to be the slowest input a program has.

Shared dependencies

What happens when everyone’s critical vendors are the same handful of vendors — including the part regulators have started naming out loud, and what that means for a mid-market register.

AI as a dependency

The model providers you procured, the ones already inside vendors you did procure, and the failure mode showing up first. It is not the one most questionnaires ask about.

Timing and ownership

Vendor incidents have a calendar, and a cap table. Two variables almost no program models, and one of them changes who answers your incident call.

Pricing the decision

Our own method for the question a board asks after a disclosure: are we exposed, what is it worth, and does staying with this vendor still make sense. Published with the report.

Real incidents, costed

A small number of 2026 vendor incidents worked end to end — exposure, options, and what each option would have cost a mid-market company.

Be first to read it

One email when Issue 02 publishes in April 2027.

Every figure in the report will carry its publisher, date and link — including where the sources disagree with each other.

Coming January 2027 · Issue 01
The diligence gap

Cyber risk in mergers, acquisitions and private equity. Buyers agree security posture moves price — and most still cannot say by how much.

2025–2026 · see the report page →